A Escola das Odds

Barcelona v Real Madrid

Início: 2026-05-10 19:00 UTC

Final: Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Barcelona (Local)

Previsão 57.63%1.74odd justa
EV +0.268%
Vantagem +0.154%
Kelly +0.362%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.69%57.66%57.60%58.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.651.651.7463.69%60.60%60.61%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 22.13%4.52odd justa
EV +1.80%
Vantagem +0.392%
Kelly +0.500%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.59%22.10%22.17%24.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.214.204.6026.32%23.74%23.81%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.24%4.94odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.23%20.24%20.23%23.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.654.705.0027.78%21.49%21.28%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.22%E -4.49%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV +1.80%E +0.392%K +0.500%G +0.009%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 18:53
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.91%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -0.412%E -0.092%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:45
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.97%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.16%EV -1.82%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 18:55
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.50%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.96%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.54%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-10 18:54
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.50%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.96%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.54%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-10 18:55
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.39%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.91%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.70%EV +0.209%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 18:45
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.18%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -7.22%E -4.49%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 18:41
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.83%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%EV -3.73%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 18:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.42%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 18:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:35
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:34
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.22%E -4.49%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 18:44
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 18:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:35
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:54
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.64%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:53
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:04
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:49
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:29
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV +0.268%E +0.154%K +0.362%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 18:55
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:54
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:04
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -6.07%E -3.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -6.07%E -3.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:40
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 18:50
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:35
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.65%EV -5.49%E -3.35%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:55
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:34
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -4.34%E -2.62%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 18:04
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 18:49
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -6.07%E -3.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 18:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 18:45
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.43%EV -8.38%E -5.27%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 18:55
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%EV -0.309%E -0.178%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.96%EV -10.37%E -2.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.96%EV -1.61%E -0.332%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -4.34%E -2.62%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -9.53%E -6.07%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -27.12%E -7.53%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-10 18:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -15.90%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -15.90%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 18:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.53%E -6.07%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.90%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 18:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.35%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.96%0.2%2026-05-10 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.87%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%0.5%2026-05-10 18:55
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-05-10 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-05-10 18:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-05-10 18:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-05-10 18:40