مدرسة الاحتمالات

Barcelona v Real Madrid

البداية: 2026-05-10 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Barcelona (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.63%1.74السعر العادل
EV +0.268%
الأفضلية +0.154%
Kelly +0.362%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.69%57.66%57.60%58.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.651.651.7463.69%60.60%60.61%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Madrid (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.13%4.52السعر العادل
EV +1.80%
الأفضلية +0.392%
Kelly +0.500%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.59%22.10%22.17%24.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.214.204.6026.32%23.74%23.81%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.24%4.94السعر العادل
EV +1.22%
الأفضلية +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.23%20.24%20.23%23.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.654.705.0027.78%21.49%21.28%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.22%E -4.49%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV +1.80%E +0.392%K +0.500%G +0.009%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 18:53
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.91%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -0.412%E -0.092%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:45
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.97%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.16%EV -1.82%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 18:55
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.50%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.96%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.54%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-10 18:54
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.50%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.96%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.54%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%2.4%2026-05-10 18:55
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.39%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.91%EV -1.52%E -0.341%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.70%EV +0.209%E +0.042%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 18:45
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.18%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -7.22%E -4.49%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 18:41
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.83%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%EV -3.73%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 18:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.42%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 18:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:35
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 18:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:34
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.22%E -4.49%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -4.17%E -0.964%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 18:44
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 18:45
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:35
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:54
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.64%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:53
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:04
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:49
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:29
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV +0.268%E +0.154%K +0.362%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 18:55
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:54
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 18:04
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -6.07%E -3.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -6.07%E -3.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:49
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:40
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 18:50
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 18:35
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.65%EV -5.49%E -3.35%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -0.803%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:55
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:34
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -4.34%E -2.62%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 18:04
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.65%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 18:49
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -6.07%E -3.72%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 18:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 18:45
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.43%EV -8.38%E -5.27%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.26%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 18:55
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%EV -0.309%E -0.178%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.96%EV -10.37%E -2.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.96%EV -1.61%E -0.332%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -4.34%E -2.62%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.80%E -4.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.744%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -9.53%E -6.07%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -27.12%E -7.53%K -10.43%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-10 18:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -15.90%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -15.90%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 18:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.53%E -6.07%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.90%E -4.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 18:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.35%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.96%0.2%2026-05-10 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.87%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%0.5%2026-05-10 18:55
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-05-10 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-05-10 18:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-05-10 18:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-05-10 18:40