Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barcelona v Levante

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barcelona (Local)

Prediction 86.35%1.16fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -11.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.43%86.24%86.29%87.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1494.34%91.18%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levante (Visit)

Prediction 4.96%20.18fair odd
EV +13.97%
Edge +0.607%
Kelly +0.635%
Growth +0.089%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.20%5.04%5.01%7.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0018.4719.0023.008.33%5.41%5.26%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 8.69%11.51fair odd
EV +13.85%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.159%

assuming max odds 13.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.38%8.72%8.70%10.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.6210.5013.1011.76%9.41%9.52%7.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barcelona (Local): 86.35%; Levante (Visit): 4.96%; Draw: 8.69%. For Levante (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.18. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.15%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.70I 5.65%NM 5.47%EV -12.29%E -0.695%K -0.736%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.38%EV +13.85%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.159%3.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.49%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.41%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.0%2026-02-20 05:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +13.97%E +0.607%K +0.635%G +0.089%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.6%2026-02-22 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +13.97%E +0.607%K +0.635%G +0.089%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.6%2026-02-22 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.99%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%4.5%2026-02-22 14:40
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.09%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.91%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.3%2026-02-22 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.18%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV -20.72%E -1.29%K -1.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.5%2026-02-22 04:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -0.896%E -0.045%K -0.047%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%6.6%2026-02-22 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.04%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%21.25I 4.71%NM 4.59%EV +5.30%E +0.249%K +0.262%G +0.014%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.37%EV +1.25%E +0.107%K +0.117%G +0.001%2.6%2026-02-22 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV -0.054%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.75%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%18.80I 5.32%NM 5.03%EV -6.84%E -0.364%K -0.384%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.054%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.04%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.15%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.08%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.15%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.08%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 4.98%EV -4.61%E -0.240%K -0.253%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.88%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.08%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.56%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 14:59
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.60%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.60%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.40%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 14:49
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.94%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -28.15%E -1.94%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.67%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%17.15I 5.83%NM 5.34%EV -15.02%E -0.876%K -0.930%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 8.99%EV -11.35%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:09
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -1.56%E -1.37%K -11.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.22%EV -1.56%E -1.37%K -11.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -35.58%E -2.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 14:19
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 14:45
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.39%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:09
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -0.896%E -0.045%K -0.047%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 15:05
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -28.15%E -1.94%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:04
BoyleSports🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.24%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:58
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.73%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.71%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -40.54%E -3.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:19
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -40.54%E -3.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.25%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.65%EV -25.26%E -2.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.59%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -26.13%E -3.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.56%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.41%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.08%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.38%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54%2.1%2026-02-22 15:10