La escuela de los momios

Barcelona v Levante

Inicio: 2026-02-22 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barcelona (Local)

Predicción 86.35%1.16momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -11.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.43%86.24%86.29%87.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1494.34%91.18%90.91%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Levante (Visitante)

Predicción 4.96%20.18momio equitativo
EV +13.97%
Ventaja +0.607%
Kelly +0.635%
Crecimiento +0.089%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 23.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.20%5.04%5.01%7.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
12.0018.4719.0023.008.33%5.41%5.26%4.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 8.69%11.51momio equitativo
EV +13.85%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.159%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.38%8.72%8.70%10.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.6210.5013.1011.76%9.41%9.52%7.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.15%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.70I 5.65%NM 5.47%EV -12.29%E -0.695%K -0.736%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.38%EV +13.85%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.159%3.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.49%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.41%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.0%2026-02-20 05:40
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +13.97%E +0.607%K +0.635%G +0.089%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.6%2026-02-22 15:00
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +13.97%E +0.607%K +0.635%G +0.089%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.6%2026-02-22 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.99%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%4.5%2026-02-22 14:40
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 87.09%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.91%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.3%2026-02-22 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.18%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV -20.72%E -1.29%K -1.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.5%2026-02-22 04:35
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -0.896%E -0.045%K -0.047%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%6.6%2026-02-22 15:04
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 87.04%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%21.25I 4.71%NM 4.59%EV +5.30%E +0.249%K +0.262%G +0.014%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.37%EV +1.25%E +0.107%K +0.117%G +0.001%2.6%2026-02-22 15:05
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV -0.054%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.75%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%18.80I 5.32%NM 5.03%EV -6.84%E -0.364%K -0.384%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.054%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:09
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 86.04%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.15%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.08%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 14:24
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 86.15%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.08%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 14:25
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 4.98%EV -4.61%E -0.240%K -0.253%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 15:10
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 15:10
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 14:45
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Bet Victor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.88%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:10
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.08%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:44
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.56%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 14:59
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.60%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.60%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.40%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 14:49
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.94%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -28.15%E -1.94%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 85.67%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%17.15I 5.83%NM 5.34%EV -15.02%E -0.876%K -0.930%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 8.99%EV -11.35%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:09
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -1.56%E -1.37%K -11.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.22%EV -1.56%E -1.37%K -11.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -35.58%E -2.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 14:19
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 14:45
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.39%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:10
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:09
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -0.896%E -0.045%K -0.047%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 15:05
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 14:30
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -28.15%E -1.94%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:20
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:04
BoyleSports1.09I 91.74%NM 85.24%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:58
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 14:25
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.73%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:05
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:25
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 84.71%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -40.54%E -3.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:19
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -40.54%E -3.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.25%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.65%EV -25.26%E -2.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 84.59%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -26.13%E -3.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 15:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.56%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.41%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.08%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.38%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54%2.1%2026-02-22 15:10