L’École des cotes

Barcelona v Levante

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barcelona (Local)

Prévision 86.35%1.16cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -11.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.43%86.24%86.29%87.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.101.101.1494.34%91.18%90.91%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Levante (Visiteur)

Prévision 4.96%20.18cote équitable
EV +13.97%
Avantage +0.607%
Kelly +0.635%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 23.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.20%5.04%5.01%7.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.0018.4719.0023.008.33%5.41%5.26%4.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 8.69%11.51cote équitable
EV +13.85%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.159%

avec la cote maximale 13.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.38%8.72%8.70%10.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.6210.5013.1011.76%9.41%9.52%7.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.15%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.70I 5.65%NM 5.47%EV -12.29%E -0.695%K -0.736%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.38%EV +13.85%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.159%3.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.49%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.41%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.0%2026-02-20 05:40
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +13.97%E +0.607%K +0.635%G +0.089%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.6%2026-02-22 15:00
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +13.97%E +0.607%K +0.635%G +0.089%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.04%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%3.6%2026-02-22 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.99%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%4.5%2026-02-22 14:40
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 87.09%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.91%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.3%2026-02-22 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.18%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.92%EV -20.72%E -1.29%K -1.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.5%2026-02-22 04:35
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -0.896%E -0.045%K -0.047%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%5.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +4.29%E +0.358%K +0.390%G +0.017%6.6%2026-02-22 15:04
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 87.04%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%21.25I 4.71%NM 4.59%EV +5.30%E +0.249%K +0.262%G +0.014%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.37%EV +1.25%E +0.107%K +0.117%G +0.001%2.6%2026-02-22 15:05
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.28%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV -0.054%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.75%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%18.80I 5.32%NM 5.03%EV -6.84%E -0.364%K -0.384%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.054%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:09
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 86.04%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.12%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.15%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.08%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 14:24
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 86.15%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.08%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 14:25
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 4.98%EV -4.61%E -0.240%K -0.253%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 15:10
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 15:10
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 14:45
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Bet Victor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.88%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:10
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.08%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:44
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.56%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -4.40%E -0.400%K -0.440%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 14:59
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.60%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.60%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +9.01%E +0.410%K +0.429%G +0.039%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.40%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 14:49
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:25
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 14:24
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.94%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -28.15%E -1.94%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -8.75%E -0.833%K -0.921%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 85.67%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%17.15I 5.83%NM 5.34%EV -15.02%E -0.876%K -0.930%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 8.99%EV -11.35%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 15:09
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -1.56%E -1.37%K -11.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.22%EV -1.56%E -1.37%K -11.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -35.58%E -2.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 14:19
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 14:45
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.39%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:10
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:09
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -0.896%E -0.045%K -0.047%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 15:05
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 14:30
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.70%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -28.15%E -1.94%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:20
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.22%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +4.06%E +0.193%K +0.203%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:04
BoyleSports1.09I 91.74%NM 85.24%EV -5.87%E -5.39%K -65.27%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:58
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 14:25
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.73%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:05
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.46%E -7.99%K -141.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -13.09%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:25
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -10.81%E -0.600%K -0.636%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:09
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 84.71%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -15.76%E -0.927%K -0.985%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -40.54%E -3.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:19
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -40.54%E -3.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -17.44%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.25%EV -5.01%E -4.56%K -50.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -25.67%E -1.71%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.65%EV -25.26%E -2.94%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 84.59%EV -7.60%E -7.10%K -108.59%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -5.85%E -0.308%K -0.325%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -26.13%E -3.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 15:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.56%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-02-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.41%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-02-22 15:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.08%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.38%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54%2.1%2026-02-22 15:10