La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Celta Vigo

Inizio: 2026-04-22 19:30 UTC

Finale: Barcelona 1–0 Celta Vigo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 77.00%1.30quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -8.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.19%76.81%77.06%78.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.231.221.2784.75%81.46%81.97%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celta Vigo (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.26%10.79quota equa
EV +8.85%
Vantaggio +0.754%
Kelly +0.824%
Crescita +0.073%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.28%9.35%9.25%11.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.2510.2210.5011.7512.12%9.78%9.52%8.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 13.74%7.28quota equa
EV +3.02%
Vantaggio +0.403%
Kelly +0.465%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.90%13.84%13.69%17.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.797.007.5020.00%14.73%14.29%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 78.13%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.31%EV +8.85%E +0.754%K +0.824%G +0.073%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.68%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.42%EV +6.54%E +0.569%K +0.623%G +0.041%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%3.3%2026-04-22 19:25
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +6.54%E +0.569%K +0.623%G +0.041%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +6.54%E +0.569%K +0.623%G +0.041%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:23
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -2.98%E -2.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.10%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%1.8%2026-04-22 19:25
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.89%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.85%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.26%EV +0.823%E +0.112%K +0.130%G +0.001%2.7%2026-04-22 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.24%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%3.1%2026-04-22 19:25
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.24%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%3.1%2026-04-22 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:15
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:25
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:25
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 19:10
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 19:05
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:25
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:20
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.05%EV -0.872%E -0.082%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.45%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.05%EV -0.872%E -0.082%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.45%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.45%EV -2.21%E -1.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.30%EV -6.73%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:34
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.28%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.59%EV -3.16%E -0.448%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 19:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 19:25
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:05
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.37%E -7.03%K -44.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 19:25
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 19:25
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.41I 9.61%NM 9.25%EV -3.56%E -0.342%K -0.378%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.68%EV -3.30%E -0.468%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 19:25
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:18
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:24
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:31
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:05
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:00
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -14.15%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 19:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 18:19
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.73%EV -9.21%E -0.940%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.02%EV -6.59%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:25
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.28%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.70%EV -9.67%E -0.992%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:01
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 76.95%EV -8.37%E -7.03%K -44.05%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.49%EV -10.60%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.05%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.89%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:25
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:25
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -31.32%E -6.26%K -7.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 19:14
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.61%EV -2.21%E -1.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -16.62%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 19:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.62%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.08%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.91%EV -0.414%E -0.057%K -0.066%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.88%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 13:04
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -23.57%E -2.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -6.59%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:45
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -23.57%E -2.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -6.59%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%0.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-04-22 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-04-22 19:25
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-22 18:20
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.0%2026-04-22 19:25
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-22 19:25