مدرسة الاحتمالات

Barcelona v Celta Vigo

البداية: 2026-04-22 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Barcelona 1–0 Celta Vigo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Barcelona (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.00%1.30السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -8.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.19%76.81%77.06%78.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.231.221.2784.75%81.46%81.97%78.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celta Vigo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.26%10.79السعر العادل
EV +8.85%
الأفضلية +0.754%
Kelly +0.824%
النمو +0.073%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.28%9.35%9.25%11.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.2510.2210.5011.7512.12%9.78%9.52%8.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 13.74%7.28السعر العادل
EV +3.02%
الأفضلية +0.403%
Kelly +0.465%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.90%13.84%13.69%17.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.797.007.5020.00%14.73%14.29%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 78.13%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.31%EV +8.85%E +0.754%K +0.824%G +0.073%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.68%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.42%EV +6.54%E +0.569%K +0.623%G +0.041%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%3.3%2026-04-22 19:25
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +6.54%E +0.569%K +0.623%G +0.041%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +6.54%E +0.569%K +0.623%G +0.041%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.89%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:23
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -2.98%E -2.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.10%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%1.8%2026-04-22 19:25
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.89%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.85%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.26%EV +0.823%E +0.112%K +0.130%G +0.001%2.7%2026-04-22 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.24%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%3.1%2026-04-22 19:25
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.24%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +3.02%E +0.403%K +0.465%G +0.014%3.1%2026-04-22 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:15
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:25
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:25
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 19:10
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.56%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 19:05
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:25
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +1.91%E +0.173%K +0.191%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:20
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.05%EV -0.872%E -0.082%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.45%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.05%EV -0.872%E -0.082%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.45%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.45%EV -2.21%E -1.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.30%EV -6.73%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:34
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.28%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.59%EV -3.16%E -0.448%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 19:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 19:25
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:05
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.37%E -7.03%K -44.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 19:25
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -2.73%E -0.260%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 19:25
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.41I 9.61%NM 9.25%EV -3.56%E -0.342%K -0.378%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.68%EV -3.30%E -0.468%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 19:25
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:18
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:24
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:31
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:05
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:00
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -14.15%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 19:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.36%E -0.736%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 18:19
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.73%EV -9.21%E -0.940%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.02%EV -6.59%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 19:25
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.28%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.70%EV -9.67%E -0.992%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 19:01
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 76.95%EV -8.37%E -7.03%K -44.05%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.49%EV -10.60%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -7.28%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.05%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.89%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -1.10%E -0.153%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:25
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.72%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:25
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -38.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -11.99%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -31.32%E -6.26%K -7.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 19:14
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.61%EV -2.21%E -1.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -16.62%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 19:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.62%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.08%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.91%EV -0.414%E -0.057%K -0.066%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.88%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.85%E -0.550%K -0.641%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 13:04
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.25%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -17.58%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -23.57%E -2.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -6.59%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:45
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.89%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -23.57%E -2.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -6.59%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%0.3%2026-04-22 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-04-22 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.28%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.6%2026-04-22 19:25
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-22 18:20
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.0%2026-04-22 19:25
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-22 19:25