A Escola das Odds

Atlético Madrid v Real Sociedad

Início: 2026-03-07 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlético Madrid (Local)

Previsão 58.25%1.72odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -4.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.87%58.24%58.19%59.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.621.611.6765.36%61.75%62.11%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad (Visitante)

Previsão 18.13%5.51odd justa
EV -0.258%
Vantagem -0.047%
Kelly -0.057%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.42%18.18%18.18%19.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.215.255.5022.22%19.21%19.05%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.62%4.23odd justa
EV -0.808%
Vantagem -0.192%
Kelly -0.252%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.56%23.58%23.63%25.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.984.004.2029.41%25.14%25.00%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.45%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 17:25
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.59%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.68%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.59%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.68%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 17:24
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.44%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.60%EV -2.93%E -0.714%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 17:24
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.94%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.32%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -4.35%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 17:24
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.66%EV -0.440%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.59%EV -2.93%E -0.714%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -0.808%E -0.192%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.25%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 16:45
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 17:04
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 17:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 16:39
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 17:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -11.14%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 17:25
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 17:05
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.95%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.95%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.47%E -2.73%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:25
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.10%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -1.99%E -0.479%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 17:19
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.10%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -1.99%E -0.479%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 17:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:24
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -0.808%E -0.192%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 17:14
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 17:04
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.808%E -0.192%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 16:34
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 16:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 16:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.03%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:25
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 17:14
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 17:09
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:19
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:20
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -3.89%E -0.733%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:15
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -3.89%E -0.733%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:23
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 17:12
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:24
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:04
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -11.14%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:25
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 17:15
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -13.86%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 16:39
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -9.13%E -5.85%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 16:39
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.13%E -5.85%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -10.88%E -7.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -18.39%E -4.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -19.70%E -5.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-07 17:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.04%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-03-07 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 17:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-03-07 16:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.00%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-07 17:25