مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlético Madrid v Real Sociedad

البداية: 2026-03-07 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlético Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.25%1.72السعر العادل
EV -2.73%
الأفضلية -1.63%
Kelly -4.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.87%58.24%58.19%59.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.621.611.6765.36%61.75%62.11%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Sociedad (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.13%5.51السعر العادل
EV -0.258%
الأفضلية -0.047%
Kelly -0.057%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.42%18.18%18.18%19.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.215.255.5022.22%19.21%19.05%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.62%4.23السعر العادل
EV -0.808%
الأفضلية -0.192%
Kelly -0.252%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.56%23.58%23.63%25.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.984.004.2029.41%25.14%25.00%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.45%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 17:25
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.59%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.68%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.59%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.68%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 17:24
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.44%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.60%EV -2.93%E -0.714%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 17:24
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.94%EV -3.31%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.32%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -4.35%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 17:24
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.66%EV -0.440%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.59%EV -2.93%E -0.714%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -0.808%E -0.192%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.25%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 16:45
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 17:04
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 17:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 16:39
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 17:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -11.14%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 17:25
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 17:05
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.95%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.95%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.47%E -2.73%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:25
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.10%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -1.99%E -0.479%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 17:19
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.10%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.258%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -1.99%E -0.479%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 17:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:24
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -0.808%E -0.192%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 17:14
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 17:04
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.808%E -0.192%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 16:34
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 16:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 16:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.03%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:25
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 17:14
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 17:09
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -2.07%E -0.384%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:19
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.70%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:20
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -3.89%E -0.733%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:15
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -3.89%E -0.733%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:23
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 17:12
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:24
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:04
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -11.14%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 17:25
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 17:15
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -13.86%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 16:39
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -9.13%E -5.85%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -4.79%E -0.913%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 16:39
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.13%E -5.85%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -7.51%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -10.88%E -7.11%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -18.39%E -4.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -19.70%E -5.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-07 17:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.04%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-03-07 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 17:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-03-07 16:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.00%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-07 17:25