语言:简体中文
Atlético Madrid v Real Madrid
胜负盘
Atlético Madrid (主队)
预测 25.10%3.98公平赔率
EV +1.42%
优势 +0.350%
Kelly +0.466%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 4.04
博彩公司预测分布
24.33%25.14%25.12%26.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.683.704.0430.30%27.16%27.03%24.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
Real Madrid (客队)
预测 50.08%2.00公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.681%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.97
博彩公司预测分布
48.73%50.07%50.08%51.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.871.851.9757.47%53.61%54.05%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.82%4.03公平赔率
EV +1.75%
优势 +0.426%
Kelly +0.564%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.09%24.78%24.79%26.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.823.874.1027.78%26.20%25.87%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Atlético Madrid (主队)：25.10%；Real Madrid (客队)：50.08%；平局：24.82%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.03。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.10，由此产生+1.75%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.35%E -3.40%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV +1.75%E +0.426%K +0.564%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -0.734%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.86%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.734%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -6.35%E -3.40%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -1.97%E -0.500%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 19:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -7.85%E -4.27%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -1.97%E -0.500%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -5.35%E -2.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.88%E -3.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.36%EV +1.42%E +0.350%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.95%EV -1.34%E -0.681%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.69%EV -4.95%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.88%E -3.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.36%E -7.06%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.68%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.68%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.02%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -9.42%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -3.85%E -2.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -3.85%E -2.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -17.16%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.74%EV -12.86%E -7.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.04%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
套利（1 种组合） +0.10%1xBet 4.04 (24.8%) / 1xBet 1.97 (50.8%) / PointsBet (AU) 4.10 (24.4%)显示详情
| Atlético Madrid (主队) | Real Madrid (客队) | 平局 | 利润率 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | 1xBet🎯 1.97 (50.8%) | PointsBet (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%) | +0.096% |