Langue:Français
Atlético Madrid v Real Madrid
Résultat du match
Atlético Madrid (Local)
Prévision 25.10%3.98cote équitable
EV +1.42%
Avantage +0.350%
Kelly +0.466%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 4.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.33%25.14%25.12%26.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.683.704.0430.30%27.16%27.03%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Real Madrid (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.08%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.681%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.73%50.07%50.08%51.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.871.851.9757.47%53.61%54.05%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.82%4.03cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.426%
Kelly +0.564%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.09%24.78%24.79%26.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.823.874.1027.78%26.20%25.87%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Atlético Madrid (Local) : 25.10% ; Real Madrid (Visiteur) : 50.08% ; Match nul : 24.82%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.03. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.10, pour une espérance positive de +1.75%.
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.35%E -3.40%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV +1.75%E +0.426%K +0.564%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -0.734%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.86%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.734%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -6.35%E -3.40%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -1.97%E -0.500%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 19:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -7.85%E -4.27%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -1.97%E -0.500%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -5.35%E -2.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.88%E -3.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.36%EV +1.42%E +0.350%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.95%EV -1.34%E -0.681%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.69%EV -4.95%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.88%E -3.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.36%E -7.06%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.68%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.68%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.02%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -9.42%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -3.85%E -2.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -3.85%E -2.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -17.16%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.74%EV -12.86%E -7.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.04%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.10%1xBet 4.04 (24.8%) / 1xBet 1.97 (50.8%) / PointsBet (AU) 4.10 (24.4%)Afficher les détails
| Atlético Madrid (Local) | Real Madrid (Visiteur) | Match nul | Marge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | 1xBet🎯 1.97 (50.8%) | PointsBet (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%) | +0.096% |