Idioma:Español
Atlético Madrid v Real Madrid
Resultado del partido
Atlético Madrid (Local)
Predicción 25.10%3.98momio equitativo
EV +1.42%
Ventaja +0.350%
Kelly +0.466%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.33%25.14%25.12%26.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.683.704.0430.30%27.16%27.03%24.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Real Madrid (Visitante)
Predicción 50.08%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.681%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.73%50.07%50.08%51.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.741.871.851.9757.47%53.61%54.05%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.82%4.03momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.426%
Kelly +0.564%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.09%24.78%24.79%26.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.823.874.1027.78%26.20%25.87%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlético Madrid (Local): 25.10%; Real Madrid (Visitante): 50.08%; Empate: 24.82%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.03. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.75%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.35%E -3.40%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV +1.75%E +0.426%K +0.564%G +0.010% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -0.734%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.86%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.734%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -6.35%E -3.40%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -1.97%E -0.500%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 19:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -7.85%E -4.27%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -1.97%E -0.500%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -5.35%E -2.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.88%E -3.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.22%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.36%EV +1.42%E +0.350%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.95%EV -1.34%E -0.681%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.69%EV -4.95%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.88%E -3.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.36%E -7.06%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.68%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.68%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.02%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -2.10%E -0.538%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -4.35%E -2.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -9.42%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -3.85%E -2.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -3.85%E -2.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.63%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -17.16%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.74%EV -12.86%E -7.39%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.04%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 19:30 |
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.10%1xBet 4.04 (24.8%) / 1xBet 1.97 (50.8%) / PointsBet (AU) 4.10 (24.4%)Ver detalles
| Atlético Madrid (Local) | Real Madrid (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%) | 1xBet🎯 1.97 (50.8%) | PointsBet (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%) | +0.096% |