Школа коэффициентов

Atlético Madrid v Celta Vigo

Начало: 2026-05-09 16:30 UTC

Итог: Atlético Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Atlético Madrid (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.09%1.96справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.139%
Преимущество +0.071%
Kelly +0.145%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.96

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.15%51.16%51.07%53.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.771.861.851.9656.50%53.88%54.05%51.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Celta Vigo (Гости)

Прогноз 23.35%4.28справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.09%
Преимущество +1.13%
Kelly +1.45%
Рост +0.074%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.50%23.40%23.28%25.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.983.954.5028.57%25.13%25.32%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.56%3.91справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.947%
Преимущество +0.240%
Kelly +0.321%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.20%25.44%25.65%27.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.693.703.9531.25%27.12%27.03%25.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.17%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.33%EV -2.38%E -0.622%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 16:24
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.74%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.19%EV +1.58%E +0.364%K +0.473%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 16:19
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.74%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.19%EV +1.58%E +0.364%K +0.473%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 16:19
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.92%EV -0.985%E -0.232%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -1.10%E -0.284%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 16:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.22%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.40%E -0.899%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 16:24
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:25
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%EV -7.52%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 16:25
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -0.331%E -0.085%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:14
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.09%E -0.744%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 16:14
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.09%E -0.744%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 16:14
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.37%EV -1.39%E -0.722%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 15:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.16%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 16:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:05
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -8.51%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:23
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 52.05%EV -5.99%E -3.26%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.71%EV -5.66%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%EV +0.947%E +0.240%K +0.321%G +0.003%4.4%2026-05-09 16:14
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%EV +0.139%E +0.071%K +0.145%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.90%EV -1.39%E -0.722%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 15:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.90%EV -1.39%E -0.722%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 15:55
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 16:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 16:14
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:14
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:04
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:19
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:25
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:24
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 16:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:04
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:04
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:54
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:14
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:54
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:24
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:55
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -0.331%E -0.085%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:04
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:54
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:04
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -18.27%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -18.22%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 16:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-05-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-05-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-05-09 16:25
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-09 16:20