مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlético Madrid v Celta Vigo

البداية: 2026-05-09 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atlético Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlético Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.09%1.96السعر العادل
EV +0.139%
الأفضلية +0.071%
Kelly +0.145%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.15%51.16%51.07%53.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.861.851.9656.50%53.88%54.05%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celta Vigo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.35%4.28السعر العادل
EV +5.09%
الأفضلية +1.13%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.50%23.40%23.28%25.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.983.954.5028.57%25.13%25.32%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.56%3.91السعر العادل
EV +0.947%
الأفضلية +0.240%
Kelly +0.321%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.20%25.44%25.65%27.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.693.703.9531.25%27.12%27.03%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.17%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.33%EV -2.38%E -0.622%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 16:24
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.74%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.19%EV +1.58%E +0.364%K +0.473%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 16:19
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.74%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.19%EV +1.58%E +0.364%K +0.473%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 16:19
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.97%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.92%EV -0.985%E -0.232%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -1.10%E -0.284%K -0.382%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 16:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.22%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.28%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.40%E -0.899%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 16:24
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:25
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.43%EV -7.52%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 16:25
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -0.331%E -0.085%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:14
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.09%E -0.744%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 16:14
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.09%E -0.744%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 16:14
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.37%EV -1.39%E -0.722%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 15:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.16%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 16:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:05
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -8.51%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:23
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 52.05%EV -5.99%E -3.26%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.71%EV -5.66%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%EV +0.947%E +0.240%K +0.321%G +0.003%4.4%2026-05-09 16:14
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%EV +0.139%E +0.071%K +0.145%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.90%EV -1.39%E -0.722%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 15:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.90%EV -1.39%E -0.722%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 15:55
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 16:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 16:14
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:14
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:04
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:19
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -2.89%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:25
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:24
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 15:54
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 16:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:04
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 15:54
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:04
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:54
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:14
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:54
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -1.61%E -0.418%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:24
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:55
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -0.331%E -0.085%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:04
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:54
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.55%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:04
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -18.27%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -18.22%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 16:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-05-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-05-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-05-09 16:25
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-09 16:20