مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlético Madrid v Barcelona

البداية: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlético Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.38%3.40السعر العادل
EV +4.29%
الأفضلية +1.21%
Kelly +1.68%
النمو +0.072%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.30%29.47%29.41%32.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.193.203.5534.48%31.31%31.25%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barcelona (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.52%2.10السعر العادل
EV +2.17%
الأفضلية +1.01%
Kelly +1.89%
النمو +0.041%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.81%47.36%47.56%50.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.012.002.1554.64%49.87%50.00%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.10%4.33السعر العادل
EV -0.435%
الأفضلية -0.101%
Kelly -0.131%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.13%23.17%23.03%26.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.304.004.004.3130.30%25.02%25.00%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%EV +4.29%E +1.21%K +1.68%G +0.072%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.21%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.49%EV -0.435%E -0.101%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 18:54
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV +1.35%E +0.391%K +0.550%G +0.007%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.05%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 18:49
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -0.121%E -0.035%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.81%EV -4.00%E -1.98%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.79%EV -6.21%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:50
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -0.121%E -0.035%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.81%EV -4.00%E -1.98%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.79%EV -6.21%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.94%EV -3.06%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.76%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:54
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.06%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:49
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.06%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:50
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.06%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:53
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -3.06%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.91%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:53
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%EV +0.748%E +0.353%K +0.668%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 18:54
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%EV -0.202%E -0.096%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%EV -0.202%E -0.096%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%EV -0.202%E -0.096%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:44
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:49
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.93%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.13%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:49
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.93%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.13%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:54
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 30.40%EV -5.41%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.84%EV -0.677%E -0.324%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%EV -0.666%E -0.155%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 18:54
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:49
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%EV -2.10%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%EV -2.10%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%EV -2.10%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:40
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%EV -2.10%E -1.02%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:45
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:50
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:55
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:54
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:54
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:49
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.67%EV -6.88%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.51%EV -0.677%E -0.324%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.82%EV -1.59%E -0.373%K -0.488%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 18:45
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -3.05%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -11.06%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 18:54
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -3.05%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -11.06%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -3.05%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -11.06%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 18:54
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:54
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -4.00%E -1.98%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -11.06%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:44
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:49
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -0.202%E -0.096%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 18:40
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -4.13%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:53
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:49
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -13.37%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:54
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -12.22%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:54
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -12.22%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:54
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:55
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:54
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:50
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV +2.17%E +1.01%K +1.89%G +0.041%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -12.22%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 04:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -13.03%E -7.12%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -23.77%E -7.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 18:54
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.81%E -5.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -0.202%E -0.096%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 15:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-04-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-04-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-04-04 18:50
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-04-04 18:55
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%2.0%2026-04-04 18:50