L’École des cotes

Atlético Madrid v Athletic Bilbao

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Madrid (Local)

Prévision 43.48%2.30cote équitable
EV +4.79%
Avantage +1.99%
Kelly +3.40%
Croissance +0.163%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.74%43.47%43.68%45.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.162.4150.00%46.20%46.30%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.85%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.647%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.49%29.93%29.70%32.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.963.163.203.3033.78%31.69%31.30%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV -0.807%
Avantage -0.217%
Kelly -0.297%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.41%26.59%26.62%29.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7233.33%28.46%28.57%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.80%EV +4.79%E +1.99%K +3.40%G +0.163%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.43%EV -0.807%E -0.217%K -0.297%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-23 16:44
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.74%EV +3.49%E +1.47%K +2.53%G +0.088%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.76%EV -11.64%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.49%EV -2.41%E -0.658%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 16:39
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.16%E -0.961%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:05
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -2.16%E -0.961%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:24
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:35
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:09
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:09
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:09
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.65%EV -2.68%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.41%E -0.658%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.65%EV -2.68%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.41%E -0.658%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.71%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 10:38
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 11:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:50
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:24
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 20:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:40
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 43.83%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.82%EV -4.77%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:50
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:48
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.54%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.08%EV -11.34%E -3.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 10:54
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:24
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.34%E -0.362%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:44
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:19
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:50
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:48
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 01:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 01:09
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 01:10
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -7.38%E -3.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:50
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.54%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:24
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 06:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:22
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 13:44
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:20
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 01:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 11:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -20.01%E -6.67%K -10.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 22:19
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -11.29%E -5.54%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:09
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -11.29%E -5.54%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:20
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-23 23:20