مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlético Madrid v Athletic Bilbao

البداية: 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlético Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.48%2.30السعر العادل
EV +4.79%
الأفضلية +1.99%
Kelly +3.40%
النمو +0.163%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.74%43.47%43.68%45.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.162.4150.00%46.20%46.30%41.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Athletic Bilbao (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.85%3.35السعر العادل
EV -1.49%
الأفضلية -0.451%
Kelly -0.647%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.49%29.93%29.70%32.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.963.163.203.3033.78%31.69%31.30%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.66%3.75السعر العادل
EV -0.807%
الأفضلية -0.217%
Kelly -0.297%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.41%26.59%26.62%29.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.513.503.7233.33%28.46%28.57%26.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.80%EV +4.79%E +1.99%K +3.40%G +0.163%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.43%EV -0.807%E -0.217%K -0.297%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-23 16:44
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.74%EV +3.49%E +1.47%K +2.53%G +0.088%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.76%EV -11.64%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.49%EV -2.41%E -0.658%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 16:39
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.16%E -0.961%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:05
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -2.16%E -0.961%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:24
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:35
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:09
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:09
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 01:09
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.65%EV -2.68%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.41%E -0.658%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.65%EV -2.68%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.41%E -0.658%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.71%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 10:38
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 11:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:50
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 09:24
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 20:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:40
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 43.83%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.82%EV -4.77%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:50
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:48
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.54%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.08%EV -11.34%E -3.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 10:54
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:24
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.34%E -0.362%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:44
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:19
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:50
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:48
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 01:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 01:09
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 01:10
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -7.38%E -3.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:50
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.54%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:24
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 06:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:22
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -2.67%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 13:44
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:20
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 01:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 11:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -20.01%E -6.67%K -10.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 22:19
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -11.29%E -5.54%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:09
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -11.29%E -5.54%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 19:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-24 00:20
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-23 23:20