Langue:Français
Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad
Résultat du match
Athletic Bilbao (Local)
Prévision 48.88%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.75%48.96%48.89%50.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.901.911.9856.18%52.65%52.36%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Real Sociedad (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.92%4.01cote équitable
EV +3.68%
Avantage +0.884%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.043%
avec la cote maximale 4.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.65%24.90%24.86%26.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.763.754.1629.85%26.62%26.67%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.432%
Avantage -0.114%
Kelly -0.154%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%26.13%26.25%26.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.603.8030.30%27.96%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Athletic Bilbao (Local) : 48.88% ; Real Sociedad (Visiteur) : 24.92% ; Match nul : 26.20%. Pour Real Sociedad (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.16, pour une espérance positive de +3.68%.
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.46%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.65%EV +3.68%E +0.884%K +1.16%G +0.043% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%EV -0.432%E -0.114%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-10-18 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.44%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.66%EV +0.936%E +0.231%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.80%E -0.718%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.80%E -0.718%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 21:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -1.74%E -0.464%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.40%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-19 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-19 00:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -8.60%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.02%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.42%EV -6.79%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -6.20%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 23:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-19 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.79%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.38%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.29%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%EV -16.51%E -4.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 23:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49% | 3.2% | 2026-10-19 00:29 |