Idioma:Español
Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad
Resultado del partido
Athletic Bilbao (Local)
Predicción 48.88%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.75%48.96%48.89%50.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.901.911.9856.18%52.65%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Real Sociedad (Visitante)
Predicción 24.92%4.01momio equitativo
EV +3.68%
Ventaja +0.884%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.65%24.90%24.86%26.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.763.754.1629.85%26.62%26.67%24.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.20%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.432%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.154%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.13%26.25%26.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.603.8030.30%27.96%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Athletic Bilbao (Local): 48.88%; Real Sociedad (Visitante): 24.92%; Empate: 26.20%. Para Real Sociedad (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.01. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.16, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.68%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.46%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.65%EV +3.68%E +0.884%K +1.16%G +0.043% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%EV -0.432%E -0.114%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-10-18 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.44%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.66%EV +0.936%E +0.231%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.90%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.80%E -0.718%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.80%E -0.718%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 21:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -1.74%E -0.464%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.40%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-19 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-19 00:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -8.60%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-19 00:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.02%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.42%EV -6.79%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -6.20%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 23:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-19 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.79%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.38%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.29%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%EV -16.51%E -4.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 23:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49% | 3.2% | 2026-10-19 00:29 |