Школа коэффициентов

Alavés v Villarreal

Начало: 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alavés (Хозяева)

Прогноз 27.51%3.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.54%
Преимущество +1.19%
Kelly +1.62%
Рост +0.074%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.48%27.43%27.59%28.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.443.403.8030.77%29.06%29.41%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Villarreal (Гости)

Прогноз 44.50%2.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.776%
Преимущество -0.348%
Kelly -0.631%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.67%44.62%44.36%46.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.122.122.2350.00%47.16%47.17%44.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.99%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.18%
Преимущество -0.334%
Kelly -0.466%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.06%27.96%28.05%30.06%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.353.353.5334.72%29.85%29.85%28.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%EV +4.54%E +1.19%K +1.62%G +0.074%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -4.54%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 19:55
LowVig.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV +1.24%E +0.336%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.35%EV -1.18%E -0.334%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:54
BetOnline.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV +1.24%E +0.336%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.35%EV -1.18%E -0.334%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:55
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV +0.413%E +0.113%K +0.156%G +0.001%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%EV -5.23%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -2.02%E -0.577%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 19:50
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.55%EV -0.412%E -0.114%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.34%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.11%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 19:54
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.62%EV -3.45%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 19:54
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:55
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:53
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.78%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:45
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.78%EV -0.776%E -0.348%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-13 19:45
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -3.00%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 19:55
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -3.00%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 19:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:55
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:55
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 27.29%EV -2.89%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.39%EV -3.45%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.13%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-13 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 19:50
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.51%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:55
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:54
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:55
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:55
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.89%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:45
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:45
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:50
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:40
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.02%E -0.577%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:43
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:45
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:39
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:40
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:40
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 19:44
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 19:55
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -8.34%E -4.05%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:55
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -8.34%E -4.05%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:55
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -7.90%E -3.81%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:55
Unibet (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -7.01%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87%EV -5.23%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.49%EV -8.18%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:54
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:50
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:45
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:55
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:45
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:55
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:54
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:50
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:55
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:54
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.01%E -5.50%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 19:54
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.78%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -11.01%E -5.50%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -19.38%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-13 19:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-13 19:55
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-03-13 18:20