مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alavés v Villarreal

البداية: 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alavés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.51%3.63السعر العادل
EV +4.54%
الأفضلية +1.19%
Kelly +1.62%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.48%27.43%27.59%28.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.443.403.8030.77%29.06%29.41%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Villarreal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.50%2.25السعر العادل
EV -0.776%
الأفضلية -0.348%
Kelly -0.631%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.67%44.62%44.36%46.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.122.122.2350.00%47.16%47.17%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.99%3.57السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.334%
Kelly -0.466%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.06%27.96%28.05%30.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.353.353.5334.72%29.85%29.85%28.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%EV +4.54%E +1.19%K +1.62%G +0.074%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -4.54%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 19:55
LowVig.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV +1.24%E +0.336%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.35%EV -1.18%E -0.334%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:54
BetOnline.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV +1.24%E +0.336%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.35%EV -1.18%E -0.334%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:55
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV +0.413%E +0.113%K +0.156%G +0.001%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%EV -5.23%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -2.02%E -0.577%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 19:50
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.55%EV -0.412%E -0.114%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.34%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.11%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 19:54
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.62%EV -3.45%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 19:54
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:55
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:53
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.963%E -0.267%K -0.370%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.78%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:45
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.78%EV -0.776%E -0.348%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-13 19:45
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -3.00%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 19:55
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -3.00%E -1.38%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 19:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:55
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.34%E -0.659%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:55
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 27.29%EV -2.89%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.39%EV -3.45%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.13%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-13 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 19:50
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.51%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:55
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:54
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:55
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.78%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:55
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.89%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:45
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:45
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:50
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:40
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.02%E -0.577%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:43
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:45
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:39
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:40
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:40
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 19:44
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 19:55
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -8.34%E -4.05%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:55
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -8.34%E -4.05%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.02%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:55
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.46%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -7.90%E -3.81%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:55
Unibet (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -7.01%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87%EV -5.23%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.49%EV -8.18%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:54
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:50
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:45
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:55
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:45
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:55
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:54
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:50
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:55
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:54
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.01%E -5.50%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 19:54
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.78%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -11.01%E -5.50%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -19.38%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-13 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-03-13 19:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-13 19:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-13 19:55
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-03-13 18:20