默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alavés v Mallorca

开赛时间: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alavés (主队)

预测 44.12%2.27公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -2.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.21

博彩公司预测分布
42.27%44.13%44.07%45.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.72%46.51%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mallorca (客队)

预测 25.66%3.90公平赔率
EV +0.057%
优势 +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.30%25.73%25.70%27.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.673.703.9030.30%27.23%27.03%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.22%3.31公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -0.549%
Kelly -0.793%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.77%30.15%30.23%31.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.103.113.2534.72%32.21%32.15%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alavés (主队):44.12%;Mallorca (客队):25.66%;平局:30.22%。 对于“Mallorca (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.898。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.900,对应+0.057%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.51%EV -2.48%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%EV +0.057%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%EV -1.79%E -0.549%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV +0.057%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.02%EV -0.970%E -0.251%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.02%EV -0.970%E -0.251%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.47%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -1.48%E -0.386%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.51%E -0.660%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 21:10
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -2.77%E -0.730%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 13:34
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:25
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:29
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:50
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.84%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:09
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.84%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:00
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.05%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.35%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 07:35
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:29
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.22%EV -6.01%E -2.82%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.59%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 11:50
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:50
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 11:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 11:50
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 06:59
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.10%E -4.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.10%E -4.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.54%E -4.66%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.97%E -4.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 19:38
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-04-24 01:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-04-24 01:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.0%2026-04-24 01:55