مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alavés v Mallorca

البداية: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alavés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.12%2.27السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -2.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.27%44.13%44.07%45.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.72%46.51%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mallorca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.66%3.90السعر العادل
EV +0.057%
الأفضلية +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.30%25.73%25.70%27.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.673.703.9030.30%27.23%27.03%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.22%3.31السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -0.549%
Kelly -0.793%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.77%30.15%30.23%31.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.103.113.2534.72%32.21%32.15%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.51%EV -2.48%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%EV +0.057%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%EV -1.79%E -0.549%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV +0.057%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.02%EV -0.970%E -0.251%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:34
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.02%EV -0.970%E -0.251%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:29
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:50
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.23%E -0.318%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 20:45
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.47%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -1.48%E -0.386%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.51%E -0.660%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 21:10
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -2.77%E -0.730%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 13:34
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:25
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:29
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:50
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:49
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:50
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.84%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.84%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 14:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.05%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.35%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 07:35
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:29
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.22%EV -6.01%E -2.82%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.59%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:04
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 11:50
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:10
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 21:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:04
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 11:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 11:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 06:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:49
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:30
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.10%E -4.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 11:50
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.10%E -4.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.92%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.32%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.81%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.54%E -4.66%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.30%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.97%E -4.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 19:38
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-04-24 01:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-04-24 01:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.0%2026-04-24 01:55