Language:English
Alavés v CA Osasuna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alavés (Local)
Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.548%
Kelly +0.867%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.00%37.32%37.13%39.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.472.482.7245.45%40.44%40.32%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Osasuna (Visit)
Prediction 31.94%3.13fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.783%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.89%32.03%33.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.963.003.2139.22%33.81%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -0.058%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.026%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%30.79%30.84%32.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.2536.36%33.13%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alavés (Local): 37.31%; CA Osasuna (Visit): 31.94%; Draw: 30.75%. For CA Osasuna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%EV -5.97%E -2.37%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.66%EV +2.51%E +0.783%K +1.14%G +0.029% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%EV -0.058%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-03-23 07:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV +0.917%E +0.290%K +0.424%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.60%E -0.499%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -0.361%E -0.116%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -0.980%E -0.304%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -0.361%E -0.116%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -0.980%E -0.304%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -11.57%E -4.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -0.999%E -0.322%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.60%E -0.499%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.16%EV -7.09%E -2.85%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -12.31%E -5.24%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.60%E -0.499%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -11.20%E -4.70%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -14.18%E -6.17%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 17:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.33%E -3.84%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV +0.372%E +0.138%K +0.220%G +0.001% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -6.11%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.11%EV -8.67%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.40%EV -6.43%E -2.19%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%EV +1.49%E +0.548%K +0.867%G +0.013% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75%EV -6.75%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -8.36%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%EV +1.49%E +0.548%K +0.867%G +0.013% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75%EV -6.75%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -8.36%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.20%E -4.70%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.20%E -4.70%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -16.05%E -7.13%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.48%EV -15.43%E -5.61%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -17.91%E -8.14%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.58%E -3.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-20 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 04:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -14.18%E -6.17%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-20 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -11.22%E -4.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 06:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.49%EV -13.13%E -4.83%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-20 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.23%EV -16.05%E -7.13%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.85%EV -18.56%E -7.28%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.92%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-20 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 05:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 06:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 05:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 27.49% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 47.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 24.96% | 42.1% | 2026-03-23 06:29 |