La escuela de los momiosAlavés v CA Osasuna
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alavés (Local)
Predicción 37.31%2.68momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +0.867%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.00%37.32%37.13%39.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.472.482.7245.45%40.44%40.32%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CA Osasuna (Visitante)
Predicción 31.94%3.13momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +0.783%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.05%31.89%32.03%33.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.963.003.2139.22%33.81%33.33%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.75%3.25momio equitativo
EV -0.058%
Ventaja -0.018%
Kelly -0.026%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.17%30.79%30.84%32.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.2536.36%33.13%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%EV -5.97%E -2.37%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.66%EV +2.51%E +0.783%K +1.14%G +0.029% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%EV -0.058%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-03-23 07:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV +0.917%E +0.290%K +0.424%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.60%E -0.499%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV +0.597%E +0.190%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -0.361%E -0.116%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -0.980%E -0.304%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -0.361%E -0.116%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -0.980%E -0.304%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -11.57%E -4.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -0.999%E -0.322%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.60%E -0.499%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -2.60%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 18:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.16%EV -7.09%E -2.85%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -3.13%E -0.995%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.46%E -3.01%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -12.31%E -5.24%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.60%E -0.499%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -11.20%E -4.70%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -14.18%E -6.17%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 17:18 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.33%E -3.84%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV +0.372%E +0.138%K +0.220%G +0.001% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -6.11%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.11%EV -8.67%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 16:40 |
| Bovada | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.40%EV -6.43%E -2.19%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%EV +1.49%E +0.548%K +0.867%G +0.013% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75%EV -6.75%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -8.36%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%EV +1.49%E +0.548%K +0.867%G +0.013% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75%EV -6.75%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -8.36%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.20%E -4.70%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.20%E -4.70%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -16.05%E -7.13%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.48%EV -15.43%E -5.61%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-22 19:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -17.91%E -8.14%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.58%E -3.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-20 06:30 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -2.99%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 04:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -14.18%E -6.17%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-20 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -11.22%E -4.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 16:15 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 06:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -10.45%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.49%EV -13.13%E -4.83%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-20 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.23%EV -16.05%E -7.13%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.85%EV -18.56%E -7.28%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.92%EV -13.90%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-20 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 05:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 06:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 05:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 27.49% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 47.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 24.96% | 42.1% | 2026-03-23 06:29 |