Школа коэффициентов

Alavés v Athletic Bilbao

Начало: 2026-05-02 16:30 UTC

Итог: Alavés 2–4 Athletic Bilbao

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alavés (Хозяева)

Прогноз 34.04%2.94справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.27%
Преимущество -0.439%
Kelly -0.670%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.95%34.06%34.01%35.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.762.752.9038.02%36.18%36.36%34.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Athletic Bilbao (Гости)

Прогноз 36.76%2.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.750%
Преимущество -0.278%
Kelly -0.441%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.03%36.76%36.80%37.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.572.582.7041.67%38.97%38.76%37.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.20%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.31%
Преимущество -0.389%
Kelly -0.552%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.15%29.18%29.20%30.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.213.203.3835.71%31.10%31.25%29.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55%EV -1.27%E -0.439%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.04%EV -0.750%E -0.278%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-02 15:36
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.90%EV -2.30%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%EV -2.64%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.72%EV -2.96%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:49
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV -0.750%E -0.278%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:06
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:05
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:06
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 15:30
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 15:31
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -4.00%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:30
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -4.00%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:30
BetUS2.81I 35.59%NM 34.10%EV -4.34%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.86%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 15:05
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 15:25
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:51
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:31
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 15:25
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 16:01
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 34.08%EV -5.36%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.30%EV -4.06%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:14
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.00%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.31%EV -1.85%E -0.694%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -1.31%E -0.389%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 34.12%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.82%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:09
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:00
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:04
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 07:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:25
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:05
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:04
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:25
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:25
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.05%EV -9.20%E -3.73%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 15:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:05
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:01
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:00
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.78%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -18.25%E -6.52%K -10.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 15:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:24
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-02 16:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-02 16:05