La scuola delle quote

Alavés v Athletic Bilbao

Inizio: 2026-05-02 16:30 UTC

Finale: Alavés 2–4 Athletic Bilbao

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alavés (Casa)

Previsione 34.04%2.94quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.439%
Kelly -0.670%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.95%34.06%34.01%35.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.762.752.9038.02%36.18%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Bilbao (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.76%2.72quota equa
EV -0.750%
Vantaggio -0.278%
Kelly -0.441%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.03%36.76%36.80%37.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.572.582.7041.67%38.97%38.76%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.20%3.42quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.389%
Kelly -0.552%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.15%29.18%29.20%30.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.213.203.3835.71%31.10%31.25%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55%EV -1.27%E -0.439%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.04%EV -0.750%E -0.278%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-02 15:36
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.90%EV -2.30%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%EV -2.64%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.72%EV -2.96%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:49
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV -0.750%E -0.278%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:06
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:05
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:06
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 15:30
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 15:31
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -4.00%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:30
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -4.00%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:30
BetUS2.81I 35.59%NM 34.10%EV -4.34%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.86%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 15:05
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 15:25
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:51
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:31
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 15:25
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 16:01
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 34.08%EV -5.36%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.30%EV -4.06%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:14
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.00%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.31%EV -1.85%E -0.694%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -1.31%E -0.389%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 34.12%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.82%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:09
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:00
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:04
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 07:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:25
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:05
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:04
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:25
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:25
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.05%EV -9.20%E -3.73%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 15:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:05
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:01
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:00
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.78%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -18.25%E -6.52%K -10.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:24
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-02 16:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-02 16:05