مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alavés v Athletic Bilbao

البداية: 2026-05-02 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Alavés 2–4 Athletic Bilbao

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alavés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.04%2.94السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.439%
Kelly -0.670%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.95%34.06%34.01%35.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.762.752.9038.02%36.18%36.36%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Athletic Bilbao (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.76%2.72السعر العادل
EV -0.750%
الأفضلية -0.278%
Kelly -0.441%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.03%36.76%36.80%37.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.572.582.7041.67%38.97%38.76%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.20%3.42السعر العادل
EV -1.31%
الأفضلية -0.389%
Kelly -0.552%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.15%29.18%29.20%30.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.213.203.3835.71%31.10%31.25%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55%EV -1.27%E -0.439%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.04%EV -0.750%E -0.278%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-02 15:36
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.90%EV -2.30%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%EV -2.64%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.72%EV -2.96%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:49
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV -0.750%E -0.278%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:06
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:05
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.59%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:06
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 15:30
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 15:31
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -4.00%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:30
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -4.00%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:30
BetUS2.81I 35.59%NM 34.10%EV -4.34%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.86%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 15:05
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 15:25
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:51
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:31
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 15:25
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 16:01
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 34.08%EV -5.36%E -1.93%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.30%EV -4.06%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:14
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.00%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.31%EV -1.85%E -0.694%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -1.31%E -0.389%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 34.12%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.82%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:09
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:00
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:04
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 15:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 07:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:25
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:05
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:04
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:25
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 15:25
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.05%EV -9.20%E -3.73%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 15:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:05
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:01
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 16:00
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.47%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.78%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -18.25%E -6.52%K -10.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 15:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-02 16:24
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-02 16:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-02 16:05