Language:English
CD Cieza v Granada CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Cieza (Local)
Prediction 21.20%4.72fair odd
EV +11.30%
Edge +2.15%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.300%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.78%20.81%21.49%21.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.624.505.2525.00%21.64%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Granada CF (Visit)
Prediction 54.27%1.84fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -7.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.64%53.95%59.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.631.651.7466.23%61.27%60.42%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.53%4.08fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.724%
Kelly +0.951%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%24.54%24.56%25.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.924.2028.57%25.83%25.48%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Cieza (Local): 21.20%; Granada CF (Visit): 54.27%; Draw: 24.53%. For CD Cieza (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -16.97%E -11.09%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.54%EV -18.06%E -11.96%K -35.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV +3.88%E +0.791%K +0.994%G +0.039% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.32%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-29 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.29%EV -2.27%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.48%E -0.540%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 18:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.60%EV -8.83%E -5.26%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 18:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.8% | 2026-10-29 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.51%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.83%EV -7.75%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.96%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -11.00%E -6.71%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.20%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-29 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.43% | 2.3% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |