預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

CD Cieza v Granada CF

開賽時間: 2026-10-29 18:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

CD Cieza (主隊)

預測 21.20%4.72公平賠率
EV +11.30%
優勢 +2.15%
Kelly +2.66%
成長率 +0.300%

假設最高賠率為 5.25

博彩公司預測分布
17.78%20.81%21.49%21.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.624.505.2525.00%21.64%22.22%19.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Granada CF (客隊)

預測 54.27%1.84公平賠率
EV -5.58%
優勢 -3.20%
Kelly -7.53%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.74

博彩公司預測分布
53.66%54.64%53.95%59.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.511.631.651.7466.23%61.27%60.42%57.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 24.53%4.08公平賠率
EV +3.04%
優勢 +0.724%
Kelly +0.951%
成長率 +0.029%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.09%24.54%24.56%25.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.873.924.2028.57%25.83%25.48%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:CD Cieza (主隊):21.20%;Granada CF (客隊):54.27%;和局:24.53%。 對於「CD Cieza (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.72的公平十進位賠率。 當時有8家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為5.25,對應+11.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029%7.0%2026-10-29 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029%7.0%2026-10-29 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029%7.0%2026-10-29 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -16.97%E -11.09%K -32.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-29 17:35
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.54%EV -18.06%E -11.96%K -35.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-29 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV +3.88%E +0.791%K +0.994%G +0.039%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.32%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-29 18:10
1xBet🎯4.61I 21.69%NM 20.29%EV -2.27%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-29 18:10
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.48%E -0.540%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 18:09
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.60%EV -8.83%E -5.26%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 18:25
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 18:09
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029%7.8%2026-10-29 17:34
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:25
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 18:20
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 18:20
Pinnacle🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 21.51%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.83%EV -7.75%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 18:20
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-29 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-29 18:25
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.96%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -11.00%E -6.71%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-29 18:20
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.20%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-29 18:05
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.43%2.3%2026-10-29 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-10-29 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-10-29 18:25