语言:简体中文
CD Cieza v Granada CF
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
CD Cieza (主队)
预测 21.20%4.72公平赔率
EV +11.30%
优势 +2.15%
Kelly +2.66%
增长率 +0.300%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.78%20.81%21.49%21.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.624.505.2525.00%21.64%22.22%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Granada CF (客队)
预测 54.27%1.84公平赔率
EV -5.58%
优势 -3.20%
Kelly -7.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
53.66%54.64%53.95%59.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.631.651.7466.23%61.27%60.42%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.53%4.08公平赔率
EV +3.04%
优势 +0.724%
Kelly +0.951%
增长率 +0.029%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.09%24.54%24.56%25.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.873.924.2028.57%25.83%25.48%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：CD Cieza (主队)：21.20%；Granada CF (客队)：54.27%；平局：24.53%。 对于“CD Cieza (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.72。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.25，对应+11.30%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +11.30%E +2.15%K +2.66%G +0.300% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -15.34%E -9.84%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.0% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -16.97%E -11.09%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV +6.00%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.090% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.54%EV -18.06%E -11.96%K -35.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-29 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV +3.88%E +0.791%K +0.994%G +0.039% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.32%EV -17.51%E -11.52%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-29 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.29%EV -2.27%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.48%E -0.540%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 18:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.60%EV -8.83%E -5.26%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 18:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV +3.04%E +0.724%K +0.951%G +0.029% | 7.8% | 2026-10-29 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.51%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.83%EV -7.75%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.96%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -11.00%E -6.71%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -3.09%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-29 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.20%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.09%E -7.46%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-29 18:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.43% | 2.3% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-29 18:25 |