A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Neom v Al-Shabab
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Neom (Local)
Previsão 44.74%2.24odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.74%44.60%44.69%45.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.87%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Al-Shabab (Visitante)
Previsão 31.02%3.22odd justa
EV -3.84%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.68%31.00%31.10%31.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.953.003.1037.04%33.88%33.33%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 24.24%4.12odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.386%
Kelly -0.512%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.06
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.42%24.40%24.20%27.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.613.604.0632.26%27.68%27.78%24.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.50%EV -6.50%E -3.11%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.42%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.93%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -13.93%E -3.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -13.93%E -3.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:22 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -24.84%E -8.01%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.76%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -15.14%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -12.76%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -16.25%E -6.02%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |