La scuola delle quote

Neom v Al-Shabab

Inizio: 2026-05-11 16:50 UTC

Finale: Neom 2–1 Al-Shabab

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Neom (Casa)

Previsione 44.74%2.24quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.74%44.60%44.69%45.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.87%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Shabab (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.02%3.22quota equa
EV -3.84%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.68%31.00%31.10%31.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.953.003.1037.04%33.88%33.33%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.24%4.12quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.386%
Kelly -0.512%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.42%24.40%24.20%27.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.613.604.0632.26%27.68%27.78%24.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 16:19
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.50%EV -6.50%E -3.11%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.42%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 16:20
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.93%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:19
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 16:30
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 16:29
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 16:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 16:29
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -13.93%E -3.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 16:29
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -13.93%E -3.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 16:30
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 16:19
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 16:19
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 16:25
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 16:29
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 16:29
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 16:29
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 16:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 16:22
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-11 16:19
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-11 16:19
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-11 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -24.84%E -8.01%K -11.83%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-11 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.76%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -15.14%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-11 16:25
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -12.76%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -16.25%E -6.02%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-11 16:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-05-11 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-05-11 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-05-11 16:25
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-05-11 16:19
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-05-11 16:30