L’École des cotesFrançais
Neom v Al-Shabab
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Neom (Local)
Prévision 44.74%2.24cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%44.60%44.69%45.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.87%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Shabab (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.02%3.22cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.68%31.00%31.10%31.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.953.003.1037.04%33.88%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.24%4.12cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.386%
Kelly -0.512%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.42%24.40%24.20%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.613.604.0632.26%27.68%27.78%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.50%EV -6.50%E -3.11%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.42%EV -1.57%E -0.386%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.93%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -13.93%E -3.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -13.93%E -3.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.57%E -5.17%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:22 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -24.84%E -8.01%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.76%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -15.14%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -12.76%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -16.25%E -6.02%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |