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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Damac v Al-Qadsiah

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 16:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Damac (主队)

预测 16.12%6.21公平赔率
EV +8.78%
优势 +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
增长率 +0.134%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
13.63%16.15%16.09%17.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.986.006.7520.00%16.72%16.67%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Qadsiah (客队)

预测 62.88%1.59公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -2.05%
Kelly -5.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
61.43%62.97%62.87%65.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.431.411.5474.07%70.13%70.92%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.00%4.76公平赔率
EV +1.03%
优势 +0.213%
Kelly +0.269%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.81

博彩公司预测分布
19.68%20.87%21.04%22.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.294.354.8126.67%23.31%22.99%20.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Damac (主队)：16.12%；Al-Qadsiah (客队)：62.88%；平局：21.00%。 对于“Damac (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.21。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.75，对应+8.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 15:40
1xBet🎯6.63I 15.08%NM 14.64%EV +6.85%E +1.03%K +1.22%G +0.083%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.04%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 15:55
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -10.71%E -7.54%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -10.71%E -7.54%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 15:55
LeoVegas🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV +3.14%E +0.490%K +0.581%G +0.018%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -15.11%E -11.19%K -43.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-09 15:40
Pinnacle🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.03%EV +1.53%E +0.242%K +0.288%G +0.004%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.68%EV +1.03%E +0.213%K +0.269%G +0.003%5.6%2026-04-09 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV +0.722%E +0.115%K +0.137%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -13.85%E -10.11%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-09 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV +0.722%E +0.115%K +0.137%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -13.85%E -10.11%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-09 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 15:45
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 15:55
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.38%E -0.736%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 15:50
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.38%E -0.736%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 15:50
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-09 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -9.75%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 15:44
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-09 15:55
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-09 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-09 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-09 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.24%E -5.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-09 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -12.98%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-09 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.20%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -8.19%E -5.61%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -17.81%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.96%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 15:46
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.42%E -3.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-09 15:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-04-09 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-04-09 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-09 15:55
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-04-09 15:55
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-04-09 15:55