L’École des cotesFrançais
Damac v Al-Qadsiah
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Damac (Local)
Prévision 16.12%6.21cote équitable
EV +8.78%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.134%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.63%16.15%16.09%17.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.986.006.7520.00%16.72%16.67%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Qadsiah (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.88%1.59cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -5.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%62.97%62.87%65.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.431.411.5474.07%70.13%70.92%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.00%4.76cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.213%
Kelly +0.269%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.68%20.87%21.04%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.294.354.8126.67%23.31%22.99%20.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.64%EV +6.85%E +1.03%K +1.22%G +0.083% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.04%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -10.71%E -7.54%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -10.71%E -7.54%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| LeoVegas | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV +3.14%E +0.490%K +0.581%G +0.018% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -15.11%E -11.19%K -43.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.03%EV +1.53%E +0.242%K +0.288%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.68%EV +1.03%E +0.213%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV +0.722%E +0.115%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -13.85%E -10.11%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV +0.722%E +0.115%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -13.85%E -10.11%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.38%E -0.736%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 15:50 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.38%E -0.736%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -9.75%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 15:44 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.24%E -5.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -12.98%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.20%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -8.19%E -5.61%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -17.81%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.96%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 15:46 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.42%E -3.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 0.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |