La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Damac v Al-Qadsiah
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Damac (Local)
Predicción 16.12%6.21momio equitativo
EV +8.78%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.134%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.63%16.15%16.09%17.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.986.006.7520.00%16.72%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)
Predicción 62.88%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -5.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%62.97%62.87%65.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.431.411.5474.07%70.13%70.92%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.00%4.76momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.213%
Kelly +0.269%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.68%20.87%21.04%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.294.354.8126.67%23.31%22.99%20.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +8.78%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.134% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -11.34%E -8.04%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.64%EV +6.85%E +1.03%K +1.22%G +0.083% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.04%EV -3.16%E -2.05%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -10.71%E -7.54%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -10.71%E -7.54%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| LeoVegas | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +4.75%E +0.731%K +0.864%G +0.041% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV +3.14%E +0.490%K +0.581%G +0.018% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -15.11%E -11.19%K -43.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.03%EV +1.53%E +0.242%K +0.288%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.68%EV +1.03%E +0.213%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV +0.722%E +0.115%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -13.85%E -10.11%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV +0.722%E +0.115%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -13.85%E -10.11%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -10.74%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.06%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.31%E -0.551%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.38%E -0.736%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 15:50 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.38%E -0.736%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.34%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -9.75%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.64%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 15:44 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.99%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.24%E -5.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -12.98%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -9.45%E -6.56%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -9.69%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.20%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -8.19%E -5.61%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -17.81%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.96%EV -8.82%E -6.08%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 15:46 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.42%E -3.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.97%E -8.55%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -11.79%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 0.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |