La scuola delle quote

Damac v Al-Okhdood

Inizio: 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

Finale: Damac 2–0 Al-Okhdood

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Damac (Casa)

Previsione 58.97%1.70quota equa
EV -3.88%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -6.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.30%58.99%58.76%61.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.581.571.6366.67%63.39%63.69%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Okhdood (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.72%5.64quota equa
EV +2.75%
Vantaggio +0.474%
Kelly +0.573%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.83%17.63%17.91%19.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.604.984.805.8021.74%20.10%20.83%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.31%4.29quota equa
EV -0.921%
Vantaggio -0.217%
Kelly -0.283%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.33%23.38%23.33%25.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.803.804.2529.41%26.35%26.32%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.54%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +2.75%E +0.474%K +0.573%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:39
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.82%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.85%EV -0.260%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -0.921%E -0.217%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:50
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.41%EV -1.32%E -0.237%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.09%E -0.497%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:54
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.17%EV -10.95%E -7.25%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -4.33%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:52
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -9.65%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 17:54
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -20.74%E -6.10%K -8.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 17:53
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.19%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:54
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:54
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:54
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:54
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -9.18%E -5.96%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 17:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:55
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 17:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.45%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%1.9%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.93%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55