La escuela de los momiosDamac v Al-Okhdood
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Damac (Local)
Predicción 58.97%1.70momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -6.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.30%58.99%58.76%61.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.571.6366.67%63.39%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Okhdood (Visitante)
Predicción 17.72%5.64momio equitativo
EV +2.75%
Ventaja +0.474%
Kelly +0.573%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.83%17.63%17.91%19.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.604.984.805.8021.74%20.10%20.83%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.31%4.29momio equitativo
EV -0.921%
Ventaja -0.217%
Kelly -0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.33%23.38%23.33%25.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.803.804.2529.41%26.35%26.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.54%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +2.75%E +0.474%K +0.573%G +0.016% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.82%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.85%EV -0.260%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -0.921%E -0.217%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.41%EV -1.32%E -0.237%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.09%E -0.497%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.17%EV -10.95%E -7.25%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -4.33%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 17:52 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -9.65%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -20.74%E -6.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-23 17:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.19%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -9.18%E -5.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.45% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.93% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |