L’École des cotes

Damac v Al-Okhdood

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

Score final : Damac 2–0 Al-Okhdood

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Damac (Local)

Prévision 58.97%1.70cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -6.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.30%58.99%58.76%61.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.6366.67%63.39%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Okhdood (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.72%5.64cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.474%
Kelly +0.573%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.83%17.63%17.91%19.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.604.984.805.8021.74%20.10%20.83%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.31%4.29cote équitable
EV -0.921%
Avantage -0.217%
Kelly -0.283%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.33%23.38%23.33%25.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.803.804.2529.41%26.35%26.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.54%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +2.75%E +0.474%K +0.573%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:39
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.82%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.85%EV -0.260%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -0.921%E -0.217%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:50
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.41%EV -1.32%E -0.237%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.09%E -0.497%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:54
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.17%EV -10.95%E -7.25%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -4.33%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:52
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -9.65%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 17:54
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.59%E -5.54%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -20.74%E -6.10%K -8.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 17:53
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.19%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:54
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.07%E -4.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:54
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:54
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.77%E -6.39%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:54
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -9.18%E -5.96%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -16.74%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.25%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 17:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 17:55
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -8.00%E -5.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.45%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%1.9%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.93%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55