Language:English
Al-Taawoun v Al-Kholood
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Prediction 50.66%1.97fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.14%50.47%50.78%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.791.9158.82%55.99%55.87%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Kholood (Visit)
Prediction 23.70%4.22fair odd
EV +0.244%
Edge +0.058%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%23.79%23.60%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.774.2328.57%26.42%26.49%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%25.73%25.62%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.603.7031.25%28.25%27.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Taawoun (Local): 50.66%; Al-Kholood (Visit): 23.70%; Draw: 25.64%. For Al-Kholood (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.244%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.93%EV +0.244%E +0.058%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.29%EV -5.38%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -3.07%E -0.751%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.73%EV -5.38%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.12%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.43%EV -13.37%E -7.82%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.12%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.68%EV -13.88%E -8.16%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.60%EV -13.50%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -14.10%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.66% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |