La scuola delle quote

Al-Taawoun v Al-Kholood

Inizio: 2026-04-11 16:04 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Taawoun (Casa)

Previsione 50.66%1.97quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.14%50.47%50.78%51.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.791.791.9158.82%55.99%55.87%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Kholood (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.70%4.22quota equa
EV +0.244%
Vantaggio +0.058%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.93%23.79%23.60%25.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.793.774.2328.57%26.42%26.49%23.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.64%3.90quota equa
EV -5.12%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.66%25.73%25.62%26.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.543.603.7031.25%28.25%27.78%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.93%EV +0.244%E +0.058%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.29%EV -5.38%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 15:59
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -3.07%E -0.751%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.73%EV -5.38%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 16:00
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:01
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:01
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:01
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.12%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 16:01
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 16:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 16:01
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:59
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.43%EV -13.37%E -7.82%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 16:01
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.12%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 16:01
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 15:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.68%EV -13.88%E -8.16%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.60%EV -13.50%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -14.10%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 16:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 16:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 16:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-04-11 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.66%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%4.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 51.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%5.0%2026-04-11 16:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 49.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%12.0%2026-04-11 16:01