L’École des cotes

Al-Taawoun v Al-Kholood

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 16:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Taawoun (Local)

Prévision 50.66%1.97cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.14%50.47%50.78%51.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.791.9158.82%55.99%55.87%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Kholood (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.70%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.244%
Avantage +0.058%
Kelly +0.076%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.93%23.79%23.60%25.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.793.774.2328.57%26.42%26.49%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.64%3.90cote équitable
EV -5.12%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%25.73%25.62%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.543.603.7031.25%28.25%27.78%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.78%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.93%EV +0.244%E +0.058%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.29%EV -5.38%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 15:59
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -3.07%E -0.751%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.73%EV -5.38%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 16:00
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:01
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:01
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:01
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.76%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.12%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 16:01
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 16:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 16:01
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.38%E -4.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:59
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.43%EV -13.37%E -7.82%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 16:01
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.12%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 16:01
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 15:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.68%EV -13.88%E -8.16%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.60%EV -13.50%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -14.10%E -4.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 16:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 16:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.36%E -7.14%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-04-11 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.66%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%4.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 51.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%5.0%2026-04-11 16:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 49.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%12.0%2026-04-11 16:01