Language:English
Al-Taawoun v Al-Ahli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -0.729%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.270%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.56%26.84%27.09%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.553.7032.26%28.61%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ahli (Visit)
Prediction 46.96%2.13fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%46.95%46.51%49.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.901.902.0455.87%52.51%52.63%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.21%26.41%28.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.503.7033.33%29.15%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Taawoun (Local): 26.83%; Al-Ahli (Visit): 46.96%; Draw: 26.21%. For Al-Taawoun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.729%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.02%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -13.13%E -7.10%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -13.13%E -7.10%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -14.54%E -7.99%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -14.54%E -7.99%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -15.47%E -8.60%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-11 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.20%E -2.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -6.16%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.18%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%EV -15.94%E -8.91%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.18%EV -7.47%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 17:47 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 17:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.70%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-11 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -21.37%E -7.12%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-11 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -16.12%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -12.19%E -6.52%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-11 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |