La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Taawoun v Al-Ahli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.729%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.270%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.56%26.84%27.09%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.553.7032.26%28.61%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Ahli (Visitante)
Predicción 46.96%2.13momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -4.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.24%46.95%46.51%49.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.901.902.0455.87%52.51%52.63%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.21%3.82momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -0.816%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.18%26.21%26.41%28.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.503.7033.33%29.15%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.02%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -13.13%E -7.10%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -13.13%E -7.10%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-11 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -14.54%E -7.99%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -14.54%E -7.99%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-11 17:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -15.47%E -8.60%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-11 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.20%E -2.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -6.16%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.18%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%EV -15.94%E -8.91%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.18%EV -7.47%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 17:47 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 17:48 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.70%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-11 17:35 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -21.37%E -7.12%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-11 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -16.12%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -12.19%E -6.52%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-11 17:34 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 17:50 |