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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Taawoun v Al-Ahli

开赛时间： 2026-05-11 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Taawoun 1–2 Al-Ahli

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Taawoun (主队)

预测 26.83%3.73公平赔率
EV -0.729%
优势 -0.197%
Kelly -0.270%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
24.56%26.84%27.09%28.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.503.553.7032.26%28.61%28.17%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ahli (客队)

预测 46.96%2.13公平赔率
EV -4.20%
优势 -2.06%
Kelly -4.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.04

博彩公司预测分布
44.24%46.95%46.51%49.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.901.902.0455.87%52.51%52.63%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.21%3.82公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -0.816%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.18%26.21%26.41%28.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.433.503.7033.33%29.15%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Taawoun (主队)：26.83%；Al-Ahli (客队)：46.96%；平局：26.21%。 对于“Al-Taawoun (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.73。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.70，期望值为-0.729%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.02%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:49
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 17:05
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -13.13%E -7.10%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 17:14
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -13.13%E -7.10%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 17:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 17:34
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 17:49
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -14.54%E -7.99%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-11 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -3.41%E -0.948%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -14.54%E -7.99%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-11 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -15.47%E -8.60%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-11 17:15
Pinnacle🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.20%E -2.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -6.16%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.18%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%EV -15.94%E -8.91%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.18%EV -7.47%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-11 17:47
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 17:48
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 17:49
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.70%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -5.14%E -2.55%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -10.78%E -5.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-11 17:35
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -21.37%E -7.12%K -10.68%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-11 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -16.12%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-11 17:49
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-11 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -14.14%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -12.19%E -6.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-11 17:34
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-11 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-11 16:29
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-11 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-05-11 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-11 17:50
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-05-11 17:50