La scuola delle quote

Al-Riyadh v Al-Fateh

Inizio: 2026-05-10 16:07 UTC

Finale: Al-Riyadh 1–0 Al-Fateh

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Riyadh (Casa)

Previsione 41.15%2.43quota equa
EV +5.35%
Vantaggio +2.09%
Kelly +3.43%
Crescita +0.184%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.86%41.33%41.18%44.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.152.5650.00%46.61%46.51%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Fateh (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.71%2.88quota equa
EV +4.12%
Vantaggio +1.37%
Kelly +2.06%
Crescita +0.085%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.64%34.56%34.78%37.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.732.703.0041.67%36.63%37.04%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.14%4.14quota equa
EV -0.548%
Vantaggio -0.133%
Kelly -0.176%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.13%24.10%24.04%26.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.653.654.1232.26%27.42%27.40%24.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +5.35%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.184%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -10.11%E -3.90%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.72%EV -5.38%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 16:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 16:04
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 41.97%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV -5.25%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -0.548%E -0.133%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 16:04
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 16:04
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 16:04
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 16:04
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 16:04
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-10 16:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-10 16:04
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -10.70%E -4.93%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.05%EV -7.33%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -8.76%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 16:04
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -2.82%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 16:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 16:04
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 16:04
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 16:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.13%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -14.31%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-10 16:04
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 16:04
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 16:04
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 16:04
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.39%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV +2.39%E +0.809%K +1.22%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 16:04
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.39%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV +2.39%E +0.809%K +1.22%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 16:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.26%EV -15.63%E -7.63%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.24%EV -16.70%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-10 16:04
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%EV -16.87%E -8.35%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV +0.652%E +0.225%K +0.343%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 16:04
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%EV -16.87%E -8.35%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV +0.652%E +0.225%K +0.343%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 16:04
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -17.69%E -8.85%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -17.69%E -8.85%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -25.17%E -8.12%K -11.99%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-10 16:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.04%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-05-10 16:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-05-10 16:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-05-10 16:04
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%3.9%2026-05-10 16:04