La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Riyadh v Al-Fateh
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Predicción 41.15%2.43momio equitativo
EV +5.35%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +3.43%
Crecimiento +0.184%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.86%41.33%41.18%44.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.5650.00%46.61%46.51%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Fateh (Visitante)
Predicción 34.71%2.88momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.085%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.64%34.56%34.78%37.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.732.703.0041.67%36.63%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.14%4.14momio equitativo
EV -0.548%
Ventaja -0.133%
Kelly -0.176%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.13%24.10%24.04%26.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.653.654.1232.26%27.42%27.40%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +5.35%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.184% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -10.11%E -3.90%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.72%EV -5.38%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.97%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV -5.25%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -0.548%E -0.133%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -10.70%E -4.93%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.05%EV -7.33%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -8.76%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -2.82%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.13%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -14.31%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.39%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV +2.39%E +0.809%K +1.22%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.39%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV +2.39%E +0.809%K +1.22%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.26%EV -15.63%E -7.63%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.24%EV -16.70%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%EV -16.87%E -8.35%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV +0.652%E +0.225%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%EV -16.87%E -8.35%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV +0.652%E +0.225%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -17.69%E -8.85%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -17.69%E -8.85%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -25.17%E -8.12%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.04% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.65% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |