L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Riyadh v Al-Fateh
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Prévision 41.15%2.43cote équitable
EV +5.35%
Avantage +2.09%
Kelly +3.43%
Croissance +0.184%
avec la cote maximale 2.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.86%41.33%41.18%44.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.5650.00%46.61%46.51%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Fateh (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.71%2.88cote équitable
EV +4.12%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.085%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.64%34.56%34.78%37.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.703.0041.67%36.63%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.14%4.14cote équitable
EV -0.548%
Avantage -0.133%
Kelly -0.176%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.13%24.10%24.04%26.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.653.654.1232.26%27.42%27.40%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +5.35%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.184% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -10.11%E -3.90%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.72%EV -5.38%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.97%EV -6.58%E -2.90%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV -5.25%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -0.548%E -0.133%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -10.70%E -4.93%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.05%EV -7.33%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -8.76%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -2.82%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.27%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.13%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -14.31%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -14.40%E -6.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV +4.12%E +1.37%K +2.06%G +0.085% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -11.89%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.39%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV +2.39%E +0.809%K +1.22%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.39%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV +2.39%E +0.809%K +1.22%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.26%EV -15.63%E -7.63%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.24%EV -16.70%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%EV -16.87%E -8.35%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV +0.652%E +0.225%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%EV -16.87%E -8.35%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV +0.652%E +0.225%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -17.69%E -8.85%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -0.042%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -15.51%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -17.69%E -8.85%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -25.17%E -8.12%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.04% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.65% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |