La scuola delle quote

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Nassr

Inizio: 2026-05-03 18:02 UTC

Finale: Al-Qadsiah 3–1 Al-Nassr

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Casa)

Previsione 29.06%3.44quota equa
EV +4.90%
Vantaggio +1.36%
Kelly +1.88%
Crescita +0.092%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.84%29.16%29.18%30.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.163.203.6136.36%31.63%31.25%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Nassr (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.58%2.10quota equa
EV -3.89%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -3.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.02%47.48%47.51%49.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.891.882.0255.25%52.82%53.19%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.36%4.28quota equa
EV -2.11%
Vantaggio -0.503%
Kelly -0.660%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.66%23.35%23.31%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.833.854.1930.77%26.13%25.97%23.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV +4.90%E +1.36%K +1.88%G +0.092%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.69%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.46%EV -3.51%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 17:59
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.08%E -5.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:01
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:01
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:00
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -11.03%E -5.90%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 17:59
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:01
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 17:59
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.33%EV -5.85%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.99%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.68%EV -2.11%E -0.503%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:59
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:01
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 18:01
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -13.88%E -7.67%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 18:01
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -3.89%E -1.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 17:58
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:58
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.65%E -4.50%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.41%EV -9.35%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 18:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 18:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 18:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 18:01
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 17:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 17:59
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 17:59
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.59%EV -7.70%E -3.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 18:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 18:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -24.07%E -7.41%K -10.70%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-03 18:01
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -15.73%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.22%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -14.72%E -4.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -15.73%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -11.50%E -6.18%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -15.89%E -4.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-03 18:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 30.90%EV -20.09%E -7.31%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.66%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-03 17:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-05-03 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%2.7%2026-05-03 18:00
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-05-03 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%3.3%2026-05-03 18:00
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 26.44%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.13%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.44%21.2%2026-05-03 18:00